Why Is Axsome (AXSM) Up 19.2% Since Last Earnings Report?

Core Viewpoint - Axsome Therapeutics has shown a positive trend in its stock performance, with a 19.2% increase over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500, leading to speculation about the sustainability of this trend ahead of its next earnings release [1]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Axsome reported an adjusted loss of $0.97 per share, which was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $1.00, and a significant improvement from a loss of $1.67 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - Total revenues surged 72% year over year to $150 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $140 million, primarily driven by strong sales of Auvelity [3]. - Product revenues reached $148.9 million in Q2, compared to $86.5 million in the previous year, with royalty revenues contributing an additional $1.1 million [4]. Product Sales Breakdown - Auvelity sales amounted to $119.6 million, reflecting an 84% year-over-year increase and a 24% sequential increase, with approximately 192,000 prescriptions recorded, marking a 15% sequential and 56% year-over-year increase [5]. - Sunosi's net product sales were $30 million, up 35% from the previous year, with total prescriptions growing 13% year over year to 50,000 [6]. - Symbravo, launched in June, generated $0.4 million in sales during its partial quarter [6]. Expense Analysis - Research and development expenses were $49.5 million, down 0.8% from the previous year, attributed to the completion of label expansion studies [7]. - Selling, general, and administrative expenses totaled $130.3 million, up 25.8% year over year, driven by increased commercial activities for Auvelity and ongoing launch activities for Symbravo [8]. Cash Position - As of June 30, 2025, Axsome had cash and cash equivalents of $303 million, slightly up from $300.9 million as of March 31, 2025 [8]. Market Outlook - Estimates for Axsome have been trending downward, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [12]. Industry Comparison - Axsome operates within the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, where Regeneron reported revenues of $3.68 billion in its last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 3.6% [13].