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博时又一债券ETF突破200亿元规模,解锁30年国债ETF博时的投资价值
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-09-04 04:41

Core Viewpoint - The 30-year government bond ETF from Bosera (511130) has surpassed 20 billion yuan in scale, marking it as a significant product among Bosera's bond ETFs and highlighting its investment value in a low-interest-rate environment [1][3][19] Investment Value - The core value of the 30-year government bond ETF lies in its approximately 20-year duration, which provides a "leverage" effect, making it a vital investment tool [3][5] - The ETF is one of only two 30-year government bond ETFs available in the market, indicating its relative scarcity [4] Configuration Value - In a declining interest rate environment, the long duration of the 30-year government bond offers strong configuration value. Historical data shows that an investment in the 30-year bond since 2012 would yield an average annualized return of 6.69% over three years, compared to 5.09% for a similar duration of 7-10 year government bonds [6][9] Trading Value - The ETF's longer duration results in higher volatility, enhancing its trading value. For instance, the modified duration of the 30-year bond index is 19.65 years, significantly higher than the 7.5 years for the 7-10 year government bond index, providing advantages in capital gains during trading [11][12] Hedging Value - The long duration of the 30-year government bond ETF allows it to hedge against equity market volatility, particularly in a financial disintermediation context. Historical data indicates that in 137 months since 2013, 61.31% showed a "see-saw" effect between stocks and bonds [13] Trading Strategies - The ETF offers three trading strategies: 1. Arbitrage: Investors can estimate the ETF's premium/discount levels and utilize the ETF's redemption and trading mechanisms for arbitrage [14] 2. Futures and Spot Arbitrage: Investors can compare futures and spot prices, using the ETF as a substitute for spot trading [15] 3. Grid Trading Strategy: In a fluctuating market, investors can set parameters to adjust positions, potentially yielding good returns [16] Trading Convenience - The 30-year government bond ETF allows for easy trading through both primary and secondary markets. Investors can subscribe using physical or cash methods, with immediate access to ETF shares [17][18] Future Outlook - Bosera Fund aims to continue innovating and expanding its product offerings in the index product field, providing diverse investment options for investors [20][21]