能源高质量发展专家谈⑥ | “十四五”我国可再生能源实现大规模、高比例、市场化、高质量跃升发展

Core Viewpoint - Since the "14th Five-Year Plan," China's renewable energy sector has achieved significant advancements in scale, proportion, marketization, and quality, contributing to energy security and green transformation, while also providing a model for global energy transition [2][3]. Large-Scale Leap - China's renewable energy capacity has seen a historic leap, with total installed capacity exceeding 2.1 billion kilowatts by July 2023, accounting for nearly 60% of the national total, and wind and solar power installations reaching 1.68 billion kilowatts, surpassing thermal power capacity [3][4]. - The development of large-scale renewable energy bases has transitioned from pilot projects to widespread implementation, with significant projects like the Xinjiang Gobi base contributing to a new pattern of large-scale and intensive development [4]. - Distributed energy installations have also surged, with distributed solar capacity reaching 497 million kilowatts by July 2025, over six times the level at the end of 2020, making up about 45% of total solar installations [4]. High Proportion Leap - The share of renewable energy in China's energy consumption has significantly increased, with renewable energy generation expected to reach 3.47 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2024, which is 2.5 times that of 2020 [6][7]. - Renewable energy has shifted from a supplementary role to a core component of the energy structure, with significant upgrades in transmission and grid management to accommodate this transition [7]. High-Quality Leap - China has established itself as a global leader in renewable energy, with a complete and rapidly developing industrial chain, and has achieved significant technological advancements in hydropower, offshore wind, and solar energy [8][9]. - The cost of renewable energy technologies has decreased significantly, with wind and solar power costs dropping by approximately 60% and 80% respectively over the past decade, facilitating global adoption [9][10]. Market-Oriented Development - A comprehensive policy framework has been established to support the development and regulation of renewable energy, enhancing market participation and ensuring high-quality growth [11][12]. - The green certificate system is being improved, with a significant increase in the issuance and trading of green certificates, reflecting the growing recognition of the environmental value of renewable energy [13][14]. - Innovative regulatory approaches are being implemented to ensure the healthy development of the renewable energy sector, utilizing advanced technologies for better oversight [14].