Feng Huang Wang·2025-09-04 09:03Core Insights - The retail business has become a focal point for banks, with significant growth reported by the six major banks, while smaller banks show weaker performance in personal loans [1][4][5] - There is a divergence in opinions among banks regarding the risk trends in retail loans, with some believing the peak of bad loans has passed, while others see ongoing risk increases [1][2][7] Retail Business Performance - The six major banks have shown strong growth in retail business, with notable increases in personal consumption and operating loans, capturing a significant market share [1][4] - Specific growth figures include: - China Construction Bank's personal operating loans increased by 20.38% - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China’s personal consumption loans grew by 10.2% - Agricultural Bank of China’s personal operating loans rose by 17.2% [4] Divergence Among Banks - Smaller banks, including joint-stock and city commercial banks, have experienced sluggish growth in personal loans, with some reporting negative growth [1][5][6] - For instance, Ping An Bank's personal loan total decreased by 2.3%, while China Everbright Bank's retail loan growth was only 1.57% [5] Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The introduction of consumption loan subsidies is expected to create more variables in the retail market for the fourth quarter and next year [3] - Smaller banks are under pressure from larger banks and are focusing on improving their retail loan offerings, particularly in housing and consumption loans [3][8] Strategies for Growth - Major banks are expected to continue focusing on personal consumption and operating loans, leveraging central policies to support growth [8][9] - Smaller banks are looking to enhance their loan offerings by collaborating with local enterprises and improving loan approval processes to compete with larger banks [7][9]