智通财经网·2025-09-04 11:50Market Movements - As of the report, U.S. stock index futures showed mixed results with Dow futures down 0.04%, S&P 500 futures up 0.17%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.18% [1] - European indices also experienced gains, with Germany's DAX up 0.81%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.17%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up 0.39% [2][3] Oil Prices - WTI crude oil prices fell by 0.92% to $63.38 per barrel, while Brent crude oil prices decreased by 0.93% to $66.97 per barrel [3][4] Economic Concerns - Wall Street is increasingly worried about the independence of the Federal Reserve amid President Trump's attempts to influence it, with a 93% risk of recession indicated by UBS based on hard data from May to July 2025 [5] - UBS described the current economic situation as "stable but high risk," with credit market pressures raising the likelihood of recession to 41% [5] Federal Reserve Insights - Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari warned that tariffs are pushing up commodity inflation, complicating the Fed's goal of achieving a 2% inflation rate [6] - Atlanta Fed President Bostic supports a modest rate cut this year, contingent on future inflation and employment data [6] Gold Price Predictions - Goldman Sachs analysts predict that if the Fed's credibility is damaged, gold prices could soar, with a basic forecast of $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 and a tail risk scenario suggesting prices could approach $5,000 per ounce [6] Small-Cap Stocks - The rebound in U.S. small-cap stocks has stalled due to concerns over interest rate cuts not being sufficient to support heavily indebted companies [7] - Analysts are focusing on profitable small-cap companies that can thrive in uncertain environments [7] Company News - Tesla announced the public launch of its Robotaxi service, expanding from a limited user base to a broader audience [8] - Apple plans to launch an AI-driven search tool next year to compete with OpenAI, integrating it into Siri and potentially other platforms [8] - Salesforce reported Q2 revenue growth of 9.8% to $10.2 billion, slightly above expectations, but its Q3 revenue outlook is below Wall Street's average forecast [9] - C3.ai's Q1 revenue fell to $70.3 million, down from $87.2 million year-over-year, raising concerns about its financial health [10] - Figma's Q2 revenue growth of 41% to approximately $249.6 million was below analyst expectations, leading to a significant drop in its stock price [10]