1万亿元买断式逆回购明日落地，机构预判后续还会加量

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is expected to continue its previous approach of slightly net injecting liquidity through reverse repos in September [1][2] - On September 5, the PBOC will conduct a 1 trillion yuan (approximately 100 billion) reverse repo operation with a 3-month term, which aligns with market expectations as a 1 trillion yuan reverse repo is set to mature on the same day [1][2] - There is an expectation for an additional 300 billion yuan MLF (Medium-term Lending Facility) operation in September, indicating a potential increase in liquidity support from the central bank [2] Group 2 - The current market conditions, including a peak in government bond issuance and a high volume of interbank certificates of deposit maturing, are contributing to a tightening of liquidity [1] - Analysts predict that the PBOC will utilize both MLF and reverse repo tools to maintain ample liquidity in the market, which will support government bond issuance and signal a continued supportive monetary policy stance [2] - Looking ahead, there is speculation that the PBOC may implement a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut in the fourth quarter to further enhance liquidity and support economic growth [2]