【环球财经】香港贸发局上调香港今年出口增长预测

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's export value increased by 12.7% year-on-year in the first seven months of this year, leading to an upward revision of the export growth forecast from 3% to a range of 7% to 9% by the Hong Kong Trade Development Council [1] Group 1: Export Performance - The export performance in the first seven months exceeded expectations, primarily driven by advanced shipping strategies [1] - The current export confidence index rose from 49.6 to 53.3, while the expected index increased from 49.0 to 54.3, indicating a recovery in exporter confidence due to easing global trade tensions [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Despite the positive performance, caution is advised as the effects of advanced shipping strategies may diminish in the coming months [1] - The global trade system is becoming increasingly fragmented, with potential for rising tariffs and heightened supply chain risks, which could lead to a sharp slowdown in trade activities by 2026 [1] - Approximately 64% of surveyed companies expect their net profit margins to increase or at least remain stable despite the challenging trade environment projected for 2025 [1]