Core Viewpoint - Dollar Tree's stock price declined following its FQ2 earnings report, attributed to profit-taking after a nearly 100% increase from March 2025 lows, despite overall bullish guidance and strong market position [3][4][12] Financial Performance - Dollar Tree reported $4.6 billion in net revenue, a 12.3% increase, leading the retail sector, driven by a 6.5% rise in comparable store sales, supported by a 3% increase in traffic and a 3.4% rise in average ticket size [9][10] - The company opened 106 new Dollar Trees and converted nearly 600 stores to a new, more effective 3.0 format, enhancing product variety and store performance [10] - Operating income grew by 7%, slightly slower than revenue growth, but still above consensus expectations [10] Earnings Guidance - Adjusted EPS was reported at 77 cents, exceeding MarketBeat's consensus by 19 cents, with expectations for continued earnings strength [11] - Revenue guidance was raised to a range above consensus estimates, while EPS targets were not, forecasting adjusted earnings between $5.32 and $5.72, with a midpoint of $5.52 compared to a higher consensus of $6.42 [11][12] Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts forecast a 12-month stock price target of $104.15, indicating a 2.08% upside, with a high forecast of $140.00 suggesting a potential 30% upside [13][14] - Institutional ownership is strong, with approximately 98% of the stock held by institutions, which continue to buy on balance [15]
Dollar Tree Plunges Into Buy-Zone: A Robust Rebound Is Expected