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每经热评丨科技股回调释放短期压力 锚定业绩方能成就“慢牛”底色
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-09-04 15:52

Group 1 - The A-share technology sector experienced a significant adjustment on September 4, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index leading the decline at 6.09%, and the ChiNext Index falling by 4.25% [1] - Individual stocks saw even sharper declines, with Cambrian falling over 14%, and other stocks like New Yisheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication dropping more than 13% [1] - Despite the adjustments, the overall market trend remains positive, as evidenced by the strong performance of the consumer sector, with sub-sectors like dairy, prepared dishes, seafood, and pet economy all rising over 2% [1] Group 2 - The current market adjustment pressure is primarily concentrated in the technology sector, driven by short-term trading dynamics following a significant rally from August 12 to early September, where the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext Indexes saw cumulative gains exceeding 20% [2] - The trading environment became crowded, with the Sci-Tech 50 Index's trading volume increasing from 1.64% of the total A-share trading volume to 4.5% within a short period, indicating a strong concentration of funds in the technology sector [2] - Historical precedents of trading-driven adjustments in A-shares, such as the white wine sector's adjustment from late 2020 to early 2021, highlight the potential for similar patterns in the current market [2] Group 3 - The previous "technology bull" market has generated substantial wealth for investors, leading to expectations for its sustainability, which hinges on aligning stock price growth with earnings growth [3] - In the first half of 2025, 36 companies in the Sci-Tech 50 Index reported revenue growth, with 15 companies seeing growth exceeding 30%, and 17 companies achieving net profit growth over 30%, particularly in the semiconductor sector [3] - The core premise for the sustainability of the "technology bull" market is the alignment of stock price increases with earnings growth; a disconnection could lead to inevitable adjustments [3] Group 4 - Cambrian's case illustrates the importance of aligning stock price with fundamentals, as the company issued a risk warning on August 29, indicating potential disconnection from its fundamental performance [4] - Following Cambrian's significant price increase, its weight in the Sci-Tech 50 Index exceeded the 10% limit, necessitating an estimated 10 billion yuan sell-off by passive funds tracking the index [4] - The adjustment in Cambrian's stock price reflects a broader trend in the technology sector, where price corrections are seen as a normal part of the market process, allowing for a return to fundamental valuations [4]