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前8个月地方政府借钱约7.7万亿,六成用于偿还旧债
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-09-04 22:56

Core Viewpoint - Local governments are accelerating borrowing to invest in major projects and repay old debts to boost the economy and mitigate risks [1] Group 1: Borrowing Scale and Purpose - In the first eight months of this year, local governments issued approximately 7.7 trillion yuan in bonds, a year-on-year increase of 42%, marking a historical high for the same period [1] - The borrowing scale is significant, with local government fiscal revenue for the first seven months at about 9.8 trillion yuan, while borrowing reached approximately 6.7 trillion yuan, accounting for nearly 70% of the revenue [1] - The primary expenditure of the borrowed funds is for debt repayment, with about 4.77 trillion yuan used for this purpose, representing around 62% of the total borrowing [5] Group 2: Refinancing Bonds - The two main uses of refinancing bonds are to repay maturing government bond principal and to replace hidden debts, effectively extending repayment periods and reducing interest burdens [2] - Nearly 2 trillion yuan of the refinancing bonds issued this year has been allocated to replace hidden debts, which is a key strategy for the central government to mitigate local government debt risks [2] Group 3: Special New Bonds - Of the 3.8 trillion yuan in new bonds issued, approximately 3.3 trillion yuan are special bonds, with a year-on-year increase of 27%, accounting for about 75% of the planned issuance for the year [4] - Special new bonds are also being used to replace hidden debts and repay overdue corporate payments, with the issuance scale exceeding previous market expectations [4][5] - The expected amount for new bonds aimed at resolving overdue corporate payments is around 200 billion yuan [5] Group 4: Investment Allocation - In the first eight months, about 2.3 trillion yuan of new special bond funds were allocated to major project construction, with 28% directed towards municipal and industrial park infrastructure, 18% towards transportation infrastructure, and 14% towards land reserves [5][6] - The negative list management approach for special bonds this year has expanded the investment scope, allowing funds to be directed towards land reserves, which totaled approximately 324 billion yuan [6] Group 5: Debt Risk Management - As of July 2025, the total local government debt was approximately 52.76 trillion yuan, remaining within the limit of about 57.99 trillion yuan, indicating that overall debt risk is manageable [6]