Core Viewpoint - The real estate sector's financial statements for H1 2025 remain low, but high-quality real estate companies are expected to lead the recovery [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The broad housing demand in China has bottomed out, but the volume and price have not entered a positive cycle as anticipated, leading to a continued bottoming out of the real estate total [1] - Core cities' real estate markets are at the bottom turning point and are expected to recover first [1] - The "good housing" policy will create new development tracks with "new products, new pricing, and new models," improving the real estate market in core cities with lower penetration rates [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the real estate sector's revenue decreased by 11.6% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 145% [2] - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 15.2%, a slight increase of 0.4 percentage points from 2024, with the three-tier cities showing the highest margin at 18% [2] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was -6.1%, with a slight improvement of 2.8 percentage points from 2024 [2] Group 3: Debt and Liquidity - As of H1 2025, the overall asset-liability ratio for the real estate sector was 73.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the end of 2024 [3] - The net debt ratio was 87.8%, an increase of 4.2 percentage points from the end of 2024, driven by stable interest-bearing liabilities and declining cash [3] - The cash-to-short-term debt ratio was 0.9 times, a decrease of 0.04 times from the end of 2024, indicating a liquidity tightening [3] Group 4: Sales and Cash Flow - The sales collection in H1 2025 continued to decline, with cash inflow from sales of goods and services down by 13% year-on-year, but the decline rate has narrowed [4] - The pre-receivable account decreased by 27.9% year-on-year, indicating a further decline in available resources for settlement [4] - The pre-receivable account locking rate fell to 0.57 times in H1 2025, indicating a decrease in future settlement resources [4]
申万宏源:地产板块报表仍在低位 优质企业筑底改善 维持“看好”评级