欧洲央行预计将维持利率不变

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the euro is experiencing a slight increase against the dollar, with the latest exchange rate at 1.1671, reflecting a 0.20% rise, while the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged [1] - The German Economic Institute (DWS) suggests that the eurozone's economic growth in the first half of the year exceeded expectations, with inflation hovering around 2%, and only a few countries showing signs of labor market weakness [1] - ING's Francesco Pesole reports that the interest rate differential between the US and the eurozone supports the potential rise of the euro against the dollar, predicting that the euro/dollar exchange rate may exceed 1.170 in the coming months [2] Group 2 - The euro/dollar exchange rate faced support above 1.1630 and encountered resistance below 1.1670, indicating a potential upward trend after a short-term decline [2] - Current market expectations suggest that the US Federal Reserve may implement more significant rate cuts than anticipated, while the eurozone market only sees a 30% chance of a rate cut by the ECB before the end of the year [2] - Short-term resistance levels for the euro are identified between 1.1660 and 1.1690, with support levels between 1.1625 and 1.1630 [2]