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机构看金市:9月5日
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-09-05 04:27

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing volatility driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and uncertainty surrounding economic data, particularly the upcoming non-farm payroll report [1][2][3][4][5][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent slight decline in precious metals is attributed to profit-taking after previous gains, but overall support remains intact [1] - The U.S. job market shows signs of weakness, with July job openings falling to 7.181 million, below the expected 7.378 million, which raises the probability of interest rate cuts [2][3] - Geopolitical uncertainties and rising global debt levels are contributing to increased risk premiums, positively impacting precious metals [1][3] Group 2: Institutional Insights - Wells Fargo predicts that gold and silver will outperform equities in the coming years, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [4] - Standard Chartered forecasts that the average gold price could rise to $3,700 per ounce in Q4 2023 due to ongoing market uncertainties [5] - The recent acceleration in gold ETF purchases indicates a broadening interest in gold, with significant trading activity noted in the Shanghai Gold Exchange [5][6] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators suggest that both gold and silver have entered overbought territory, indicating a potential need for short-term adjustments [2][3] - The market is closely monitoring the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could significantly influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [6]