ADP爆冷+贸易逆差创4月新高：黄金3545关键位争夺战

Market Overview - The US dollar index stabilized and rose by 0.15%, closing at 98.29 [2] - Spot gold ended a seven-day winning streak, dropping 0.38% to close at $3545.78 per ounce after reaching nearly $3510 per ounce during the day [2] - Spot silver fell below $41 per ounce, closing down 1.32% at $40.67 per ounce [2] Economic Indicators - The US ADP employment growth for August slowed significantly to 54,000, below the market expectation of 65,000, with July revised to 104,000 [3] - Initial jobless claims in the US increased by 8,000 to 237,000, the highest since June, exceeding the expected 230,000 [3] - The US trade deficit surged by 32.5% in July to $78.3 billion, higher than the expected $75.7 billion, marking a four-month high [4] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve's third-ranking official indicated that gradual rate cuts would be appropriate if economic conditions align with expectations [5] - A 2026 voting member reiterated opposition to a rate cut in September, citing persistent high inflation [5] Trade Relations - The US and Japan reached an agreement on tariff trade terms, with Japan committing to increase US rice purchases by 75% [3] - The US government criticized Norway's sovereign wealth fund for withdrawing investments from Caterpillar, indicating concerns over the fund's actions [4]