Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, 42 listed securities firms achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 104 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 65.1% driven primarily by revenue growth from brokerage and proprietary trading businesses [1][2] Revenue and Profitability - Adjusted revenue (operating revenue minus other business costs) for listed securities firms increased by 35.1% year-on-year to 247.3 billion yuan, with a net profit margin rising by 7.6 percentage points to 42.1% [1] - In Q2 2025, adjusted revenue for listed securities firms increased by 16.2% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit decreased by 0.7% quarter-on-quarter due to the impact of high base effects from significant non-operating income in some firms [1] Business Segment Performance - The contribution to adjusted revenue growth from proprietary trading and brokerage businesses was 45% and 44% year-on-year, respectively, accounting for 53% and 30% of net revenue growth [2] - Investment banking business saw an 18% year-on-year growth due to a recovery in equity financing, while asset management business experienced a slight decline attributed to adjustments following the sale of Huatai Assetmark and a drop in income from some firms' private asset management businesses [2] Market Dynamics and Differentiation - There is a significant performance differentiation among securities firms, with large and medium-sized firms benefiting from proprietary trading transformations, while small firms rely more on brokerage business [3] - The transformation of proprietary trading has become a key issue in the industry, with differences in business models, transformation processes, and investment capabilities leading to operational disparities among firms [3] Investment Outlook - The securities sector is expected to benefit from a combination of increased allocation power and performance elasticity, with institutional investors increasing their allocation to equity assets due to declining fixed-income asset yields [4] - The wealth effect from long-term capital entering the market is anticipated to drive retail investor participation, alongside the generally high growth in semi-annual reports, suggesting a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector, particularly for securities firms [4]
国泰海通:25H1自营及经纪驱动券商盈利高增 后续业绩有望逐步释放