GameStop: Buy or Sell GME Stock Ahead of Its Earnings?

Core Insights - GameStop is set to announce its earnings on September 9, 2025, with historical volatility observed in its stock price following earnings announcements [2][4] - The company has diversified its business model beyond traditional video game sales, now including physical and digital products, as well as cryptocurrency investments exceeding $500 million [3] Earnings Expectations - Analysts project earnings of $0.16 per share on revenue of $823 million, a significant increase from $0.01 per share on sales of $798 million in the same quarter last year [4] - GameStop's current market capitalization stands at $10 billion, with reported revenue of $3.7 billion, an operating profit of $59 million, and a net income of $208 million over the past twelve months [4] Historical Stock Performance - Over the past five years, GameStop's stock has shown an even distribution of positive and negative one-day returns, with a median positive return of 8.9% and a maximum gain of 35.2% on positive days [2][11] - Conversely, on negative days, the median return was -16.6%, with the largest decline reaching -39.4% [2][11] - The likelihood of positive one-day returns post-earnings is approximately 50%, increasing to 58% when considering the last three years [11] Trading Strategies - Event-driven traders can benefit from understanding historical trends, as actual outcomes relative to consensus estimates will significantly influence stock performance [3][7] - Pre-earnings positioning involves evaluating historical chances of achieving positive returns, while post-earnings positioning focuses on analyzing immediate and medium-term returns to guide trading decisions [7][8]