AeroVironement: Sell AVAV Stock Ahead of Earnings?

Core Insights - AeroVironment is scheduled to announce its earnings on September 9, 2025, with historical patterns suggesting potential trading strategies based on past performance [2] - The company has experienced a negative one-day return in 55% of instances following earnings announcements over the past five years, with a median negative return of -6.6% [3][6] - Analysts forecast earnings of $0.34 per share on revenues of $437 million for the upcoming quarter, a significant decline from $0.89 per share and $189 million in revenues from the same quarter last year [3] Financial Performance - AeroVironment currently has a market capitalization of $11.6 billion and generated $821 million in revenue over the past twelve months, with an operating profit of $59 million and a net income of $44 million [4] - The company recorded 20 earnings data points in the last five years, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 45% of the time [6] Trading Strategies - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be employed, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [7] - Historical data indicates that the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns can guide trading decisions [7][8]