高盛：中国“水”牛市将继续向上！升沪深300指数目标至4900点

Group 1: Nvidia and Dell Performance - Nvidia's performance is supported by demand from large tech companies and non-traditional clients, with a significant order demand of $20 billion from sovereign funds, doubling year-over-year [1][2] - Despite meeting expectations, Nvidia's future in the Chinese market remains uncertain due to unclear demand for H20 series products and potential export licensing issues for Blackwell series [1][2] - Dell's AI server business shows strong growth, but the profitability of its Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) has declined, leading to lower-than-expected EBIT [2] Group 2: Snowflake's Growth - Snowflake's performance indicates a strong growth trajectory, with revenue growth exceeding 30% in Q2 and a record increase in the number of million-dollar paying customers [2] Group 3: US Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs has revised the US Q2 GDP growth rate to an annualized 3.3% and increased the domestic final sales growth rate to 1.9% [3] - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is expected to rise by 0.26% month-over-month in July, with a year-over-year increase of 2.87% [3] Group 4: Chinese Market Insights - The Chinese stock market has shown strong performance, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks rising 8% and 10% respectively since August [4][5] - Goldman Sachs believes the liquidity-driven bull market in China has further room to extend, supported by current valuation levels and ongoing profit growth [4][5][6] Group 5: Global Market Trends - Asian bond investors are increasingly focusing on "de-dollarization," indicating a shift in asset allocation away from US dollar-denominated assets [7][8] - Structural factors, such as large current account surpluses and aging populations in Asian economies, are expected to drive demand for foreign fixed-income assets [7][8]