Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the weak employment data has significantly increased expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September [1][7] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls added only 22,000 jobs in August, falling short of the expected 75,000, and the previous month's figure was revised from an increase of 73,000 to 79,000 [4][5] - The unemployment rate remained at 4.3%, matching expectations, while average hourly wages increased by 3.7% year-over-year, slightly below the expected 3.8% [4][5] Group 2 - The report shows a notable slowdown in job growth compared to July, which added 79,000 jobs, and revisions indicate a negative growth of 13,000 jobs in June [5] - The healthcare sector added 31,000 jobs, while the federal government saw a reduction of 15,000 jobs, impacting overall hiring [5] - Following the release of the employment data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September rose to 96%, with the dollar index dropping nearly 0.8% and gold prices hitting a new record [7][9] Group 3 - Analysts widely agree that the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September is very high, with some suggesting that the current data has made a rate cut almost certain [9] - The two-year Treasury yield fell by 8 basis points to 3.5%, the lowest since April, while the ten-year yield dropped by 4 basis points to 4.1% [7] - The political implications of the employment data have raised concerns about its credibility, especially following the dismissal of the previous head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics [5]
美元跳水,黄金拉升!美国,重磅数据发布!
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-09-05 15:21