英国内阁洗牌 工党信任危机加剧 改革党预测议会选举或提前至2027年

Core Viewpoint - The resignation of Angela Rayner due to a tax scandal has triggered a cabinet reshuffle in the UK, significantly impacting the Labour Party's political standing and leading to a rise in support for the Reform Party [1] Group 1: Political Developments - Angela Rayner's resignation forced Prime Minister Keir Starmer to initiate an emergency cabinet reshuffle involving over ten cabinet members, including several key figures [1] - The Labour Party's support has been overtaken by the Reform Party in recent polls, indicating a potential shift in the political landscape [1] - Political analysts predict that the UK may face early elections, with the current government under significant pressure from fiscal challenges, internal party divisions, and fluctuating public opinion [1] Group 2: Economic Context - The Starmer government inherited a £22 billion fiscal gap from the Conservative Party and has struggled to implement effective economic improvements over the past year, leading to a credibility crisis [1] - The Reform Party, led by Nigel Farage, has capitalized on the situation, claiming that traditional parties are collapsing and positioning itself as the solution to restore Britain's greatness [1] Group 3: Party Dynamics - The Reform Party's membership has surged to 240,000 within a year, marking its first entry into Parliament with four seats [1] - Labour insiders suggest that if the party performs poorly in the local elections next May, Starmer may face the possibility of being ousted [1] - The ongoing cabinet reshuffle has not alleviated the Labour Party's crisis and may instead accelerate the restructuring of the political landscape [1]