热点问答丨黎巴嫩解除真主党武装会成功吗？

Core Viewpoint - The Lebanese government has approved a plan to disarm Hezbollah, but the process faces significant challenges and opposition from various factions within Lebanon [1][2][3]. Group 1: Reasons for Disarming Hezbollah - The disarmament process was initiated due to increasing pressure from the United States, which has demanded that Lebanon disarm Hezbollah by the end of the year [2]. - The U.S. has linked the disarmament to a potential reduction of Israeli military actions in Lebanon and financial support for Lebanon's reconstruction [2]. - Hezbollah has been involved in military actions against Israel, particularly in response to the recent escalation of the Israel-Palestine conflict [1]. Group 2: Attitudes of Various Parties - The Lebanese government has expressed willingness to collect Hezbollah's weapons but insists that Israel must cease its violations and withdraw from Lebanese territory [3]. - Hezbollah has firmly rejected the disarmament, claiming its armed presence is necessary for resisting Israeli aggression and protecting Lebanon's sovereignty [3]. - Israel has welcomed the Lebanese government's efforts to disarm Hezbollah and has indicated readiness to support these efforts if the Lebanese military acts on the plan [3]. Group 3: Potential Developments - The Lebanese cabinet has decided to keep the specifics of the disarmament plan confidential, with the military expected to report progress monthly [4]. - Analysts suggest that the disarmament process may face significant obstacles, including the risk of conflict between the Lebanese government and Hezbollah [4]. - There is skepticism among the Lebanese population, particularly in southern regions supportive of Hezbollah, regarding the sincerity of U.S. mediation efforts [5].