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鹰眼观酒 丨白酒进入调整期,从“二八”向“一九”演进
Da Zhong Ri Bao·2025-09-07 05:48

Core Insights - The Chinese liquor industry is experiencing a dual drive of consumption recovery and structural upgrades, leading to a pronounced trend of "the strong getting stronger and increased differentiation" [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, 19 A-share listed liquor companies reported a total revenue of 235.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, and a total net profit of 94.39 billion yuan, down 0.92% [2] - The top six liquor companies, including Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, accounted for 89.82% of the total revenue of A-share listed liquor companies, with a combined revenue of 211.25 billion yuan [2][3] - Kweichow Moutai achieved a main revenue of 89.39 billion yuan, while Wuliangye reported 52.77 billion yuan, and Shanxi Fenjiu reached 23.96 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market share of the top six liquor brands increased from 86.82% in 2022 to 89.82% in mid-2025, indicating a shift from the "80/20 rule" to the "90/10 rule" [4] - Kweichow Moutai's revenue share of the industry increased from 36.37% in 2022 to 38% in the first half of 2025, showcasing its strong brand moat and pricing power [4] - Shanxi Fenjiu has become a notable disruptor in the industry, achieving double-digit growth in revenue and net profit for eight consecutive years, increasing its market share from 7.68% in 2022 to 10.19% in the first half of 2025 [4] Group 3: Industry Challenges and Strategies - The liquor industry is entering a deep adjustment period characterized by policy adjustments, consumption changes, and intensified competition, where stability is deemed more important than growth [5] - Many liquor companies are enhancing promotional efforts, such as Shanxi Fenjiu's strategic branding initiatives through high-profile media appearances and cultural events [5] - The industry is shifting focus towards providing genuine value to consumers, particularly the younger generation, as blind expansion and price increases pose increasing risks [6] Group 4: Consumer Complaints - Consumer complaints in the liquor industry are primarily concentrated in three areas: product quality, marketing irregularities, and consumer experience [8] - Issues related to product quality include the prevalence of counterfeit high-end liquor and deceptive practices surrounding "vintage liquor" [8] - Marketing concerns involve false advertising in live-streaming sales and misleading pricing strategies during promotional events [8]