Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-09-07 08:16Core Viewpoint - The industrial mother machine sector is experiencing a significant revival driven by policy support and market demand, positioning it as a strategic opportunity in the manufacturing industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Overview - China remains the world's largest producer and consumer of machine tools, with the industrial mother machine market expected to grow from 631.36 billion yuan in 2019 to 712.89 billion yuan in 2024, and projected to exceed 800 billion yuan by 2029 [1]. - The industry is witnessing a strong recovery, with the revenue and profit of large-scale machinery industries increasing by 7.8% and 9.4% year-on-year, respectively, in the first half of 2025 [2]. Group 2: Policy and Market Catalysts - The issuance of the "High-Quality Standard System Construction Plan for Industrial Mother Machines" is a pivotal policy aimed at transitioning the industry from "domestic production" to "high-end production," with a target of revising at least 300 standards by 2026 [1][2]. - The policy emphasizes a systematic approach, integrating standard development with major projects and mandating carbon emission accounting and energy efficiency requirements [2]. Group 3: Investment Logic - The sector is characterized by three strong investment logics: the certainty of domestic substitution, technological breakthroughs, and the emergence of new demands from industries such as electric vehicles and robotics [3][4]. - The domestic substitution rate for high-end CNC machine tools is currently below 20%, with expectations to rise to 60% by 2030, indicating substantial growth potential [3]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - Domestic companies have made significant technological advancements, achieving international standards in precision and integrating AI and IoT into industrial mother machines [4]. - Collaborative efforts between machine manufacturers and component suppliers are accelerating the industrialization process, enhancing overall efficiency [4]. Group 5: Emerging Demand - The rapid growth of new industries, including electric vehicles and humanoid robots, is driving demand for advanced machining equipment, particularly in precision components [5]. - The low-altitude economy is also creating new requirements for composite processing equipment, with the market for related processing equipment expected to grow rapidly [5]. Group 6: Future Trends and Opportunities - Key trends to watch include the integration of smart manufacturing with industrial mother machines, the demand for equipment upgrades due to new material processing, and opportunities for domestic equipment in global markets [6]. - Investment focus should be on high-end CNC machine manufacturers, core component suppliers, and specialized equipment manufacturers in emerging sectors [6]. Group 7: Key Monitoring Points - Important monitoring points include the timing of policy implementation, capacity release from new production lines, and export growth driven by competitive pricing [7]. - Companies with strong core technologies, healthy cash flow, and robust order books are expected to perform well in this sector [7].