Prediction: Joby Aviation Will Crush the Market in 2026. Here's Why.

Core Viewpoint - Joby Aviation is positioned as a leading player in the emerging electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) market, with significant potential for growth and disruption in urban transportation [2][3][4]. Company Progress - Joby Aviation has made substantial progress in the FAA certification process, completing about 70% of stage four, while the FAA is over 50% through its portion [5][6]. - The company has successfully conducted 21 piloted test flights in Dubai, aiming to complete its vertiport at Dubai International Airport by early 2026 [9]. - Joby has formed a strategic partnership with L3Harris Technologies to develop a gas turbine hybrid craft for defense applications, with test flights expected in the fall [10]. Market Potential - The eVTOL market is projected to grow to $9 trillion by 2050, indicating a vast opportunity for public transportation and other applications such as medical emergencies and package delivery [3]. - Joby Aviation's transition from a pre-revenue company to one that could potentially fly passengers commercially in 2026 may lead to a significant valuation boost [11]. Financial Considerations - Joby Aviation currently holds approximately $991 million in cash, with a cash burn rate of about $500 million over the past 12 months, suggesting a need for new capital within a couple of years if revenue does not materialize [12][13]. - The company has a market capitalization of around $11 billion, with a projected full-year revenue of approximately $232,000, resulting in an extremely high price-to-sales (P/S) multiple [14]. Investment Sentiment - Joby Aviation is seen as a potentially disruptive industrial stock, akin to Uber Technologies, appealing to aggressive growth investors, while more cautious investors may prefer alternative stocks or industrial ETFs [15].