上市银行资产质量大扫描： 地产风险持续出清 零售贷款承压

Core Viewpoint - The overall non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of listed banks in China remains at an excellent level in the first half of 2025, with most banks showing stable or improved asset quality, while some retail loan segments are experiencing increased pressure on asset quality [1][7]. Group 1: Non-Performing Loan Ratios - Among A-share listed banks, 20 banks reported a decrease in NPL ratios, with declines ranging from 0.01 to 0.12 percentage points, while 15 banks maintained stable NPL ratios [2]. - Sixteen listed banks have NPL ratios below 1%, with Chengdu Bank reporting the lowest at 0.66% [2]. - Xi'an Bank achieved the largest reduction in NPL ratio, decreasing by 0.12 percentage points to 1.6% by the end of June [2][3]. Group 2: Risk Management Trends - The risk management trends highlighted by bank executives include the ongoing clearance of risks in real estate and local government financing platforms, while retail sectors like personal loans are under pressure [1][4]. - Agricultural Bank of China reported a 0.05 percentage point decrease in the NPL ratio for real estate loans by the end of June [4]. - The overall NPL ratio for state-owned banks averaged 1.21%, outperforming the industry average by 0.28 percentage points [3]. Group 3: Retail Loan Quality Concerns - Several banks, including Huaxia Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, have seen increases in personal loan NPL ratios compared to the beginning of the year [7]. - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China noted that retail loan asset quality is generally declining due to market conditions, but expects improvements as economic policies take effect [7][8]. - Credit card transactions and personal loans are facing significant challenges due to consumption downgrades and adjustments in the real estate market, as stated by China Merchants Bank [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts from Huatai Securities believe that the asset quality of corporate loans is improving, particularly in the real estate sector, with expectations for continued improvement in the second half of the year [6]. - Despite the overall stability in NPL ratios, there are concerns about the underlying asset quality, particularly in retail loans, which may face pressure from the actual economic conditions [8].