贝森特警告：若最高法院宣布特朗普关税非法，美国将面临巨额退款-美股-金融界

Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Becerra expressed confidence that President Trump's tariff plan will prevail in the Supreme Court, but warned that if deemed illegal, the Treasury would have to issue substantial refunds, potentially returning about half of the tariff revenue, which would be catastrophic for the Treasury [1][4] - The Trump administration has requested the Supreme Court to expedite a ruling to overturn a previous appellate court decision that deemed most of the tariffs imposed on various imported goods as illegal [2][4] - If the Supreme Court ruling is delayed until June 2026, the amount of tariffs collected could reach between $750 billion to $1 trillion, and the cancellation of these tariffs would lead to significant chaos [3][4] Group 2 - The possibility of having to refund such large tariff amounts could provide unprecedented unexpected income for businesses and institutions that have paid these tariffs [4] - The U.S. Tax Foundation indicated that before the court's intervention, Trump's tariff plan was set to cover nearly 70% of imported goods, but if overturned, the affected import goods ratio would drop to about 16% [4] - Despite confidence in a favorable Supreme Court ruling, the government is preparing alternative plans in case of a loss, which may include imposing tariffs under other legal provisions, such as the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 [5] Group 3 - The Trade Expansion Act of 1962 allows the President to impose tariffs after investigating trade practices to ensure imports do not threaten national security, with recent expansions of tariffs on steel and aluminum covering over 400 product categories [5] - The judicial dispute will not affect tariffs on low-priced goods, as the government has officially eliminated the "de minimis" exemption for U.S. imports valued at $800 or less [5] - Following the removal of the tariff exemption for low-priced imports, the U.S. inbound postal volume has reportedly dropped by over 80% due to postal operators awaiting compliance guidance on the new rules [5]