Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-08 00:33Market Performance - The three major US stock indices had mixed performance last week, with the Nasdaq gaining over 1% due to strong performances from tech giants like Google, while overall market performance was subdued due to weak employment data raising recession concerns [1][3] - The S&P 500 index closed down 0.32% at 6481.50 points, the Dow Jones down 0.48% at 45400.86 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.03% at 21700.39 points [3] Employment Data - The US Labor Department reported that non-farm payrolls increased by only 22,000 in August, significantly below the market expectation of 75,000, leading to concerns about a potential recession [4][20] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest in nearly four years, and previous employment data for June was revised down to show negative growth, marking the first monthly decline in employment since 2020 [20] Federal Reserve Expectations - The weak labor market has heightened expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, with market predictions showing a 92% probability of a 25 basis point cut in the upcoming September meeting [6][20] - Analysts suggest that the employment data provides sufficient reason for the Fed to adjust its risk balance and consider a rate cut [8] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The upcoming release of the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) is anticipated to cause significant market volatility, with investors closely monitoring whether tariffs imposed by Trump have increased prices [8] - A CPI reading significantly above expectations could undermine the market's optimistic outlook on potential rate cuts by the Fed [8] Company News - Apple is set to hold its fall event, where it is expected to unveil the latest generation of iPhones, AirPods, and updates to the Apple Watch, although market expectations for major surprises are tempered by Apple's lag in AI advancements [9][8] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk announced the completion of a successful design review for the AI5 chip, which is expected to be a "legendary" product, with the AI6 chip anticipated to be the best AI chip to date [14][22]