中国资产“价值重估”“共振上行”,“我们要成为在不同市场周期下均能创造价值的长期主动管理者”
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2025-09-08 00:37

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is entering a long-term "value re-rating" cycle supported by three long-term factors, with both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks moving in sync based on the same fundamental and expected logic [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Shanghai Composite Index reached 3,800 points in August 2025, driven by policy and capital [1]. - Allianz Fund's first public fund, Allianz China Select Mixed Securities Investment Fund, was established in September 2024 and has shown outstanding performance due to its proactive management approach [1]. - The current market is characterized by a "slow bull" foundation, with significant changes in financial market regulation, valuation logic, and asset pricing mechanisms [11]. Group 2: Long-term Factors Supporting Value Re-rating - The three core factors supporting the value re-rating cycle are: 1. Improvement in the long-term competitiveness of Chinese enterprises 2. Mitigation of systemic risks 3. Strong policy support [4][6]. - These factors are considered "constant variables" that will continue to exert influence over the coming years [4]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Trends - There is a noticeable shift in residents' asset allocation from debt to equity, indicating a recovery in confidence across society [7][8]. - The upcoming maturity of high-interest three-year deposits is expected to drive funds towards more attractive investment options, creating positive feedback for the market [9]. Group 4: Foreign Investment Perspective - Foreign capital is gradually shifting towards a "Stand Alone" strategy for Chinese assets, indicating a fundamental change in market positioning [10]. - Although foreign investment in A-shares has not yet surged, there is strong confidence in the Chinese market, with foreign investors waiting for clearer geopolitical signals before making significant moves [10]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - Allianz Fund maintains a strategy of "enhanced GARP" (Growth at a Reasonable Price), focusing on a balanced allocation between dividend and quality technology assets [11]. - The fund is currently positioned with a high allocation towards quality technology assets, anticipating significant excess returns as the fundamentals improve [11].