Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-09-08 00:52Core Viewpoint - China's High Voltage Direct Current Transmission System (HVDCS) has become a core technology for building a new energy system, leveraging its advantages in long-distance and high-power transmission. The market for HVDC is projected to reach 89.2 billion yuan in 2024 and exceed 300 billion yuan by 2028, driven by the expansion of wind and solar power installations and the explosive demand for AI computing power [1][7]. Industry Overview - HVDCS utilizes direct current for high-power, long-distance electricity transmission, converting three-phase alternating current to direct current and back again, enabling efficient and stable energy transfer [2]. - The industry has developed a complete upstream and downstream industrial system, focusing on raw materials, equipment manufacturing, and system integration, with major investments from state-owned enterprises [4]. Market Size and Growth - The HVDC market in China reached 89.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 42.3% increase year-on-year, and is expected to surpass 300 billion yuan by 2028 [7]. - The demand for 800V HVDC technology is anticipated to surge, particularly in the context of AI data centers, with the market projected to grow from 2 billion yuan in 2028 to 6.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 47% [1][8]. Industry Chain - The HVDCS industry chain includes upstream raw materials, midstream equipment manufacturing, and downstream operation by major power grid companies, facilitating large-scale applications in long-distance transmission and renewable energy integration [4]. Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by a concentration of market share among state-owned enterprises like China Xidian and TBEA, while private companies and foreign firms compete in niche areas [10]. - China Hengtian Electric holds a 28% market share, benefiting from partnerships with leading internet companies in the AI data center sector [10]. Development Trends - The industry is expected to see technological advancements, with a shift towards 800V high-voltage platforms and silicon carbide devices, enhancing system efficiency and reliability [11]. - The application scenarios for HVDC are diversifying, including cross-border energy interconnections and industrial microgrids, creating a multi-billion market for related services [12]. - Chinese HVDC companies are transitioning to a global operational model, focusing on technology, standards, and capital, with exports expected to rise to 40% by 2030 [13][14].