

Group 1: Industrial Metals - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has increased, combined with the seasonal demand in September and October, leading to strong upward momentum in industrial metal prices [1][2] - Copper prices are supported by a decrease in electrolytic copper production expected in October, with the SMM import copper concentrate index reporting a weekly increase of $0.63 to -$40.85 per ton [2] - Aluminum production has slightly increased to 847,300 tons, with domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory at 626,000 tons, indicating a slight accumulation of 6,000 tons [2] Group 2: Energy Metals - The supply of cobalt raw materials continues to decrease, suggesting a potential surge in cobalt prices, while lithium demand is expected to strengthen during the traditional peak season [3] - The market is entering a phase of increased supply and demand for lithium, with expectations of a tight supply situation, leading to a sustained strong price for lithium carbonate [3] - Nickel prices are expected to rise due to limited supply from nickel salt plants and high raw material costs, with ongoing demand from downstream enterprises [3] Group 3: Precious Metals - The weak U.S. employment data and inflation aligning with expectations have bolstered confidence in a Federal Reserve rate cut, leading to an upward shift in gold and silver prices [4] - The legal and economic uncertainties from tariff disputes are expected to increase safe-haven demand, supporting gold prices [4] - Central bank gold purchases and weakening U.S. dollar credit are anticipated to drive gold prices higher, presenting opportunities for investment in the gold sector [4]
