Rocket Companies: RKT Stock To $40?

Core Viewpoint - Rocket Companies has experienced a significant stock increase of 85% year-to-date, driven by its merger with Mr. Cooper Group, improved market conditions, and operational efficiencies [2][3] Group 1: Key Drivers for Growth - The transformative merger with Mr. Cooper is expected to create scale advantages, with Mr. Cooper stockholders receiving 11 shares of Rocket Class A common stock for each share [4] - The combined company will service over $2.1 trillion in loans, representing about one in six U.S. mortgages, which enhances market dominance [4] - Mr. Cooper Group's revenue growth of 10.6% year-over-year contributes to immediate top-line momentum [4] - The merger is projected to deliver approximately $400 million in annual run-rate revenue and cost synergies [4] - The integration of Rocket's technology with Mr. Cooper's servicing platform aims to lower costs and improve client experience for nearly 10 million customers [4] Group 2: Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which could further support mortgage demand [4] - Lower interest rates typically boost refinancing activity, encourage new home purchases, and support loan demand across various segments [4] Group 3: Financial Projections - Current trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue stands at $4.6 billion, with projections indicating it could more than double in the next three years due to the merger and market expansion [10] - Current adjusted EPS is $0.20, with a projected increase to approximately $0.80 in three years, reflecting a fourfold improvement [10] - The current P/E ratio is 100x, with a target P/E of 50x as earnings normalize, leading to a price target of over $40 [10]