Group 1: Anti-Dumping Measures - The Ministry of Commerce has announced preliminary findings of anti-dumping investigations on imported pork and related products from the EU, confirming dumping and substantial damage to the domestic industry [1] - Temporary anti-dumping measures will be implemented in the form of a deposit starting from September 10, 2025, requiring importers to provide corresponding deposit rates to customs [1] - In the first seven months of 2025, China imported 1.39 million tons of pork and related products, with nearly 50% coming from the EU, indicating a significant reliance on EU imports [1] Group 2: Market Prices and Trends - The market price of live pigs has dropped to 13.87 yuan/kg as of September 8, 2025, down from 14.22 yuan/kg at the end of July 2025 and 15.98 yuan/kg at the end of 2024 [2] - Pork wholesale prices have also decreased, with a recent price of 20.10 yuan/kg, compared to 20.50 yuan/kg at the end of July 2025 and 22.37 yuan/kg at the end of 2024 [2] - Major listed pig farming companies reported increased sales volumes in August 2025, but both price and profit margins have declined [2] Group 3: Production Capacity and Industry Adjustments - The number of breeding sows has slightly decreased by 0.80% in August 2025, indicating a potential adjustment in production capacity [3] - The Ministry of Agriculture has been promoting measures to stabilize the pig industry, including controlling breeding sow numbers and reducing overall supply [3] - Analysts suggest that the anti-dumping measures may lead to a reduction in imported pork supply, potentially driving domestic pork prices higher [3][4] Group 4: Company Performance - De Kang Agriculture reported sales of 813,100 pigs in August 2025, with a revenue of 1.432 billion yuan, but the average selling price decreased by 3.31% from July 2025 [5] - COFCO Joycome turned a profit in the first half of 2025 but faced pressure on profit margins due to declining pig prices, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts [6] - WH Group reported a 10.4% increase in operating profit for the first half of 2025, with a sales growth of 8.9%, marking the best performance since the second half of 2020 [6]
港股概念追踪 | 猪价再起波澜?欧盟进口猪肉反倾销初裁落地 机构称猪价中枢有望抬升(附概念股)