Kroger(US:KR) Forbes·2025-09-09 10:45Core Insights - Kroger is expected to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings on September 10, 2025, with anticipated earnings of $1.00 per share and revenues of $34.13 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase in earnings and a slight rise in sales compared to the previous year [2][3] Financial Performance - The company has a current market capitalization of $45 billion and reported revenue of $147 billion over the last twelve months, achieving operational profitability with $3.9 billion in operating profits and net income of $2.6 billion [4] - For FY 2025, Kroger forecasts identical sales (excluding fuel) to increase by 2.25%–3.25%, with adjusted EPS projected between $4.60–$4.80 and free cash flow estimated at $2.8–$3.0 billion [3] Historical Earnings Trends - Historically, Kroger's stock has risen 60% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 7.6% and a maximum observed rise of 17% [2][4] - Over the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points recorded, with 12 positive and 8 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 60% of the time; this percentage increases to 67% when considering the last three years [6] Trading Strategies - A strategy based on historical odds suggests that traders may benefit from understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings, particularly if 1D and 5D returns show high correlation [7] - The performance of peers can also influence Kroger's stock response post-earnings, with historical data indicating that peer stock returns may affect pricing prior to Kroger's earnings announcement [8]