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国泰海通:盈利能力修复节奏加快 维持建材行业“增持”评级
智通财经网·2025-09-10 02:40

Group 1: Cement Industry - The cement sector shows a notable profit elasticity with price increases, and companies expanding overseas, such as Huaxin Cement, exhibit strong profitability advantages [1][4] - In Q2 2025, the cement industry's profitability demonstrated a pattern of high-to-low within the quarter, with April and May maintaining price advantages and reduced raw material costs contributing to year-on-year profitability growth [1] - Supply-demand pressures began to increase in June, leading to a slight retreat in profitability, but it is expected that 2024 will mark the bottom for profit per ton, with further downward pressure being unlikely [1] Group 2: Consumer Building Materials - The profitability recovery in the consumer building materials sector is expected to outpace revenue growth, with Q2 revenue growth rates remaining consistent with Q1 [2] - The industry has shown signs of recovery, and the anticipated bottom for revenue growth is projected for Q3 2024, with price recovery and structural upgrades in the coatings and waterproofing sectors leading the way [2] - Cost optimization measures, including personnel and expense management, have significantly improved profitability in the first half of 2025 [2] Group 3: Glass and Fiberglass - The fiberglass sector is supported by high-end demand from wind power and thermoplastics, with leading companies seeing continuous improvement in net profit per ton [3] - The demand for electronic fabrics is expected to rise due to AI trends, leading to an increase in both volume and price for thin fabrics, while the thick fabric prices remain stable [3] - The glass sector is experiencing a price bottoming out due to supply-demand stalemate, with a slight rebound in photovoltaic glass prices following self-regulated production cuts [3] Group 4: Overall Industry Outlook - The building materials industry is expected to present various structural highlights in the 2025 mid-year report, with significant profit recovery in the cement and consumer building materials sectors, and strong demand in the glass and fiberglass sectors [4] - Recommended leading companies include Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and China National Building Material in the cement sector; Oriental Yuhong and Beixin Building Materials in consumer building materials; and China Jushi and Xinyi Glass in the glass and fiberglass sector [4]