Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reiterates that "anti-involution" will be the thematic trade for the Chinese market over the next 18 to 24 months, with a broader scope than the previous supply-side reform [1] Group 1: Policy Insights - The "anti-involution" policy closely resembles the 2021 regulatory approach aimed at preventing disorderly capital expansion, but it has a wider range, focusing on streamlining local government endorsements and investment subsidies [1] - Three industrial ecosystems are affected by this policy, with renewable energy stocks prioritized due to their superior revenue structure compared to real estate and macro stocks, and stronger policy enforcement compared to e-commerce stocks [1] Group 2: Market Implications - The "anti-involution" policy is crucial for the Chinese stock market, as higher ROI is a prerequisite for the institutionalization process and market expansion of onshore stocks, benefiting large industry leaders [1] - A list of preferred Chinese stocks benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy includes Daqo New Energy, Hengli Petrochemical, CATL, Zhongsheng Holdings, Baosteel, SF Holding, GAC Group, PetroChina, and ZTO Express [1]
摩根大通:重申“反内卷”是未来18至24个月的主题交易,列出中资首选股名单