手机、汽车、家电齐战：小米的增长会见顶吗？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Xiaomi's recent performance and challenges in the smartphone and electric vehicle markets, highlighting its growth trajectory, competitive pressures, and strategic shifts towards high-end products and ecosystem expansion [1][3]. Group 1: Growth and Performance - Xiaomi achieved a revenue of 1159.6 billion RMB in Q2, marking a 30.5% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 108.3 billion RMB, up 75.4%, both reaching historical highs [1][3]. - The company's market share in the online air conditioning sector reached 16.71%, surpassing Gree for the first time [1]. - Since the launch of the Xiaomi 15 Ultra and SU7 Ultra, Xiaomi's market capitalization has surged by 1.3 trillion HKD, reaching 1.46 trillion HKD [3]. Group 2: Challenges in Smartphone Business - Xiaomi's smartphone revenue in Q2 2025 was 455 billion RMB, with a gross margin of 11.5%, reflecting a 2.1% year-on-year decline in revenue despite a slight increase in shipment volume [7][10]. - The global smartphone market is experiencing saturation, with a 2.7% decline in shipments, and Xiaomi's growth rate is lagging behind competitors like Apple and Samsung [10][11]. - The average selling price of Xiaomi smartphones decreased by 2.7%, attributed to intense competition and promotional activities [7]. Group 3: Electric Vehicle Business - Xiaomi's electric vehicle segment reported a revenue of 213 billion RMB, a 233.9% increase year-on-year, with 206 billion RMB coming from automotive sales, although it still incurred a loss of 3 billion RMB [14][15]. - The company delivered 81,300 electric vehicles in Q2, a 197.7% increase from the previous year, but faces significant competition in the Chinese EV market [14][15]. - Xiaomi's automotive strategy emphasizes not engaging in price wars, focusing instead on scaling production and securing delivery orders [15][16]. Group 4: Ecosystem Expansion - Xiaomi's air conditioning sales exceeded 5.4 million units in Q2, with a year-on-year growth of over 60%, while refrigerator and washing machine sales also saw significant increases [17][18]. - The company aims to become a leading player in the home appliance market by 2030, competing against established brands like Midea and Gree [18]. - Xiaomi's reliance on third-party manufacturing and its need to enhance brand perception and technological differentiation are highlighted as challenges in the home appliance sector [17][18].