金价慢涨快跌谨防二次探底

Group 1 - Gold prices are currently rebounding, trading around $3645, as investors await upcoming inflation data before the Federal Reserve meeting [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to rise by 0.2% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is projected to increase by 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year [2] - If the inflation data comes in lower than expected, it could strengthen the Federal Reserve's gradual rate cut path, supporting gold prices [2] Group 2 - Morgan Research forecasts the average gold price to reach $3675 by Q4 2025 and $4000 by Q2 2026, driven by central bank gold purchases [3] - Oxford Economics warns that rising prices of tariff-related goods may lead to higher-than-expected PPI, raising inflation concerns and temporarily suppressing gold [2] - ANZ has raised its gold price target for the end of 2025 from $3600 to $3800, expecting gold to reach nearly $4000 by June 2026 [3] Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates that gold prices fell over $50 but are currently maintaining a slow upward trend, with resistance around $3650 [4] - A break below the $3620 level could lead to further declines towards the $3600 support level [4] - Analysts suggest that if PPI and CPI confirm cooling inflation, the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut could exceed 20%, potentially pushing gold prices towards the $3600-$3800 range [2]