持续调整！年内上千只债基负收益

Core Viewpoint - The bond market has experienced significant adjustments since July, leading to negative returns for over a thousand bond funds, while the equity market has seen a rise in investor confidence due to supportive policies [1][4]. Group 1: Bond Market Performance - Since early July, the 30-year government bond futures have retraced over 5%, with other maturities also showing declines, indicating a broad adjustment in the bond market [2][3]. - As of September 9, the yields for various government bonds have increased, with the 30-year yield nearing 2.10%, reflecting a shift in market expectations and risk appetite [2][3]. Group 2: Fund Performance - Over a thousand bond funds have reported negative returns this year, with 50 funds showing returns below -2% and 181 funds below -1% [4]. - In contrast, convertible bond funds and mixed equity-bond funds have performed relatively well, with some convertible bond funds exceeding 20% returns [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The adjustments in the bond market are attributed to a shift in expectations driven by macroeconomic policies aimed at stabilizing growth, leading to a stronger equity market and a "stock-bond seesaw" effect [3][6]. - The recent regulatory changes regarding fund fees may influence investor behavior, potentially increasing the attractiveness of bond funds despite current market challenges [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while the bond market faces short-term pressures from rising equity markets, there remains fundamental support for bonds, and a potential stabilization could occur if negative sentiment dissipates [6]. - The ongoing dynamics between equity and bond markets will continue to be a focal point, with the possibility of structural opportunities arising as the market adjusts [6].