多国财政困局推涨金价 全球资产定价面临重构

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in international gold prices, which have increased nearly 40% this year, driven by factors such as central bank purchases, complex global situations, and heightened demand for safe-haven assets [1][2] - The recent surge in gold prices since late August is linked to market speculation regarding a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, alongside rising long-term bond yields due to concerns over fiscal sustainability in multiple countries [1][2] - France's 10-year government bond yield has risen to a high level within the Eurozone, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability, while the UK’s 30-year bond yield has reached a 27-year high, reflecting investor anxiety over government fiscal conditions and economic outlook [1][2] Group 2 - The upward pressure on long-term bond yields is not isolated to France and the UK; similar trends are observed in the US, Japan, and Germany, indicating a broader concern among investors regarding government debt risks [2] - The trend of investors selling government bonds to invest in gold reflects a shift in risk management strategies, as gold is perceived as a safer asset when government bonds face sustainability challenges [2] - The ongoing bull market for gold, which has lasted nearly three years, is supported by traditional factors such as central bank purchases and geopolitical uncertainties, while the recent trend of selling bonds to buy gold introduces new dynamics that could reshape the definition and scope of safe-haven assets in the coming years [2]