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中信证券:医药板块涨势还远未结束 主升浪有望中长期持续
智通财经网·2025-09-11 00:27

Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical sector in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is expected to see a significant recovery in the first half of 2025, driven by major policy optimizations in medical insurance, a strong recovery in hospital demand, and returns from innovation [1] Pharma Sector - The pharmaceutical sector's revenue and net profit growth rates for the first half of 2025 are -4.04% and -0.50% respectively, with traditional and generic drug companies facing revenue pressure due to centralized procurement policies [2] - Companies with a high proportion of innovative drugs are benefiting from rapid commercialization, maintaining good growth [2] - The sector's R&D expense ratio is 12.69%, up 0.29 percentage points from the first half of 2024, indicating a commitment to innovation [2] - The gross margin and net margin for the sector are 66.83% and 20.73%, respectively, showing improvement due to the higher proportion of high-margin innovative drug revenues [2] Biotech Sector - The biotech sector's revenue growth rate is 14.12%, with a significant contribution from BD licensing income [3] - Many biotech companies are achieving operational profitability through drug commercialization, with companies like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics leading the way [3] - The sector is expected to showcase innovative products at international conferences, indicating a strong presence in global innovation [3] Medical Devices - The medical device sector's revenue and net profit growth rates for the first half of 2025 are -5.11% and -17.99%, respectively, due to policy disruptions and delayed procurement funding [4] - Despite the overall decline, certain sub-sectors show promise, with expectations of a turning point in Q3 2025 [5] CRO and CDMO - The CRO sector's revenue growth is 14.05%, with net profit growth of 18.34%, benefiting from a recovery in overseas investment and innovation [8] - The CDMO sector's revenue growth is 10.34%, with strong demand for projects in drug development and production [9] Blood Products - The blood products sector's revenue growth is 0.64%, with net profit declining by 13.06%, but long-term growth remains strong due to increasing domestic supply [12] Internet Healthcare - The internet healthcare sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with a revenue growth rate of 16.31% and a net profit growth rate of 134.16%, indicating a shift towards profitability [18]