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海通国际:维持康哲药业(00867)“优于大市”评级 目标价18.38港元
智通财经网·2025-09-11 01:21

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International slightly adjusted the revenue forecast for Kangzheng Pharmaceutical (00867) for 2025-26E to 8.33/9.30 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.5%/11.6% [1] - The net profit forecast for the same period was adjusted to 1.67/1.88 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.4%/12.9% [1] - The valuation model was changed to a discounted cash flow (DCF) model to better reflect the long-term value of the pipeline cash flow from Demy Pharmaceutical, with a target price of 18.38 HKD (+85%) [1] Financial Performance - Kangzheng Pharmaceutical achieved a revenue of 4 billion HKD in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11% [2] - The revenue from major exclusive/brand products and innovative products was 2.9 billion HKD, up 21% year-on-year, which is the core driver of the company's performance recovery [2] - The gross profit margin was 72%, with R&D expenses of 570 million HKD (down 8% year-on-year) and a net profit of 940 million HKD (up 3% year-on-year) [2] Business Growth Drivers - The recovery in revenue is attributed to the clearance of the impact from existing centralized procurement products and the steady growth of core products such as Weifurui and Meitai Tong [3] - Exclusive/brand and innovative product sales accounted for 62.1% of total revenue, up from 56.1% in the same period last year [3] - Revenue by segment includes 2.2 billion HKD from cardiovascular, 1.4 billion HKD from digestive/immunity, 500 million HKD from skin health (up 104%), and 360 million HKD from ophthalmology [3] Innovation and Pipeline - The company has three NDA applications under review and approximately ten clinical trials progressing in China, including treatments for ischemic stroke and atopic dermatitis [4] - Potential products in development include Povorcitinib and CMS-D001, targeting various conditions [4] Spin-off Plans - Kangzheng Pharmaceutical plans to spin off Demy Pharmaceutical for independent listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange by April 2025 [5] - Demy Pharmaceutical's pipeline addresses significant unmet clinical needs in skin diseases and has over 650 sales professionals covering more than 10,000 hospitals [5]