国盛证券：种子行业向转基因 耐密高产方向转型

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's new food security strategy emphasizes "basic self-sufficiency in grains and absolute safety in staple foods" [1] - The country has made significant progress in breeding high-yield corn varieties over the past decade, with leading seed companies showing excellent performance in recent years [1][3] - The focus on self-sufficiency is heightened due to external uncertainties, and policies for seed industry revitalization and changes in genetically modified organisms (GMOs) are expected to expand the industry and optimize its structure [1][2] Group 2 - The implementation of a grain yield improvement project has been proposed, with a focus on the transformative potential of GMO breeding [2] - Currently, 161 GMO corn varieties and 19 GMO soybean varieties have been approved, with significant benefits in pest control and yield increase [2] - The trend towards high-density, high-yield corn varieties is gaining momentum, with improvements in planting density being key to increasing corn yields [3] Group 3 - In Q2 2025, major seed companies experienced significant revenue growth, but profits declined for most due to the traditional return season [4] - Inventory pressure has increased for upstream seed companies due to falling agricultural product prices, although overall inventory reduction is healthy [4] - Some companies, such as Kangnong Seed and Dunhuang Seed, have seen positive growth in advance payments, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [4]