Group 1 - The new UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced that the annual budget will be published on November 26, following the Bank of England's monetary policy meeting on November 6, which may delay any interest rate decisions until after the budget details are released [1] - Current market data indicates a 20% probability of a rate cut by the Bank of England in November and an 18% probability in December, suggesting that the earliest potential rate cut may be postponed to December [1] - The announcement of the budget date adds further uncertainty to the already complex outlook for UK monetary policy, although it may provide temporary stability for the pound and UK government bonds [1] Group 2 - The GBP/USD currency pair has risen to the upper boundary of the range formed over the past four weeks, indicating a bullish short-term trend as it trades above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 1.3487 [2] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is fluctuating within the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting a consolidation trend in the market [2] - Key support is identified at the August 1 low of 1.3140, while significant resistance is noted near the July 1 high of 1.3800 [2]
财政预算日期晚于利率决议 英国央行决策陷两难
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-11 04:13