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家具行业半年考:龙头盈利“率先反转” 智能家居成增长引擎
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-09-11 04:27

Core Insights - The home furnishing industry is experiencing a "premature reversal" trend due to the dual benefits of consumer promotion policies and the traditional consumption peak in the fourth quarter [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - Leading companies are showing resilience in profitability, with significant improvements in financial metrics [2] - Gujia Home achieved revenue of 9.801 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.02%, and a net profit of 1.021 billion, up 13.89%, indicating effective cost control and product optimization [2] - Xilinmen reported revenue of 4.021 billion, a slight increase of 1.59%, with net profit rising 14.04% to 266 million, showcasing strong profit elasticity [2][4] - Mengbaihe's revenue reached 4.316 billion, up 9.35%, with net profit increasing by 17.82% to 115 million, benefiting from a low base effect [2] - Mosi's revenue declined by 5.76% to 2.478 billion, with net profit down 4.14% to 358 million, reflecting challenges in the high-end market [2] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The industry shows a divergence in profitability, with companies focused on high-end smart products experiencing notable margin improvements [3] - Xilinmen's gross margin reached 36.28%, up 1.51 percentage points, indicating a clear and solid profit reversal despite minimal revenue growth [3] Group 3: Growth Drivers - The recovery in the home furnishing industry is driven by strong growth in segments like smart home and sleep economy, fueled by consumer demand for quality sleep and personalized products [6] - Companies are focusing on smart product development, with Xilinmen expanding its AI mattress series and Gujia Home enhancing its "whole-home smart ecosystem" [6][7] - The integration of smart features in products, such as voice-controlled electric sofas, is becoming standard in mid-to-high-end offerings [7] Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - The industry faces challenges from raw material price fluctuations, real estate adjustments, and insufficient consumer confidence, alongside increased competition in international markets [8] - Companies are adopting various strategies, such as Mengbaihe's overseas production base to avoid trade barriers and Xilinmen's investment in R&D for smart products [8] - The home furnishing sector is currently valued at historical lows, reflecting market caution, but signs of an "early reversal" are emerging across various fields and companies [8] - The outlook for the second half of 2025 suggests that sectors like sleep economy and smart home may continue to outperform the industry, presenting potential investment opportunities [8]