英镑静待美通胀与英预算

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming US inflation data is expected to be a key catalyst for the GBP/USD exchange rate, with the market currently holding a neutral view on the pound [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The market anticipates that the GBP/USD exchange rate will continue to fluctuate within a range, with investor focus shifting towards the upcoming UK autumn budget and its potential policy signals [1] - A potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) in December is expected to occur earlier than the market's general consensus, which could significantly weaken the pound's interest rate advantage [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The GBP/USD has stabilized above the support level of 1.3400 and has broken through short-term moving average resistance [1] - The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, indicating increased bullish momentum; if the exchange rate effectively breaks through the 1.3570 level, it may further test resistance levels at 1.3620 and 1.3680 [1] - Initial support levels to watch for a potential pullback are at 1.3500 and subsequently at 1.3440, with an overall trend leaning towards a strong consolidation [1]