Core Viewpoint - Huaxi Securities has initiated coverage on Xiaocaiyuan (00999) with a "Buy" rating, projecting significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by strategic expansion and operational efficiencies [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenue for Xiaocaiyuan is projected to reach CNY 6.042 billion, CNY 7.334 billion, and CNY 8.835 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, representing year-on-year growth of 15.98%, 21.38%, and 20.47% respectively [1] - Corresponding net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at CNY 769 million, CNY 951 million, and CNY 1.191 billion for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 32.37%, 23.80%, and 25.14% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be CNY 0.65, CNY 0.81, and CNY 1.01 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Xiaocaiyuan's growth is supported by three main advantages: 1. Store Expansion: The company is expanding its store network, particularly in provinces like Henan and Shandong, where consumer acceptance of various cuisines is high, minimizing expansion resistance [1] 2. Product Standardization: The introduction of central kitchens, pre-processing of ingredients, and the use of cooking robots are addressing the challenges of standardizing food quality across locations, which is crucial for maintaining brand strength during rapid expansion [1] 3. Store Model Optimization: The investment payback period for individual stores is decreasing, and the company plans to implement smaller store models with the integration of cooking robots, which is expected to sustain low investment recovery periods and enhance profit margins [1]
华西证券:首予小菜园(00999)“买入”评级 门店利润率水平有望进一步提升