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海通国际:25H1通用航空需求显韧性 交付机型呈现分化格局
智通财经网·2025-09-11 08:28

Core Viewpoint - The global general aviation aircraft market is showing robust growth, with total deliveries reaching 1,432 units in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%, and market size exceeding $1.225 billion, up 9.9% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in market value enhancement [1][2]. Market Performance - In Q2 2025, the market saw significant improvement, with deliveries reaching 800 units, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.6%, despite a slight year-on-year decline of 5.0%. The market size in Q2 was $721 million, a quarter-on-quarter surge of 43.1% and a year-on-year increase of 0.8% [2]. - The demand for general aviation remains resilient despite macroeconomic uncertainties, with a shift towards higher-end products driving market size growth [2]. Delivery Type Differentiation - The delivery types in the first half of 2025 showed a clear differentiation: piston aircraft deliveries reached 810 units, up 5.1% year-on-year, while turbine aircraft deliveries were 622 units, down 3.3% year-on-year. This trend was more pronounced in Q2, with piston aircraft deliveries at 452 units, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.3% [3]. - The strong performance of piston aircraft is attributed to the growing popularity of personal and leisure aviation, while turbine aircraft face challenges due to higher costs and longer procurement cycles [3]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape in the global general aviation market is becoming increasingly concentrated, characterized by a "one strong, one leading" dynamic. The leading company, Cirrus, delivered 350 units with a year-on-year growth of 31.0%, capturing 24.4% of the market share [4]. - The second player, Daher, delivered 300 units with a year-on-year growth of 19.0%, maintaining strong growth across quarters. Together, these two companies hold over 45% of the market share, highlighting the trend of resource concentration towards leading firms [4]. Structural Opportunities - Key market drivers include strong demand in North America and the Asia-Pacific region, particularly due to the implementation of low-altitude economic policies in China, which inject new growth momentum into the market [5]. - The increasing share of turboprop and jet aircraft deliveries is optimizing product structure and driving up average unit prices. Additionally, demand in specialized applications such as emergency rescue and business travel is expanding the high-end aircraft market [5]. Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to maintain steady growth in the second half of 2025, with a focus on three investment directions: opportunities for leading companies to increase market share, value opportunities from the rising share of high-end models, and innovation opportunities from new technology applications [6]. - Companies like Cirrus and Daher are expected to benefit from their product advantages and channel capabilities, while innovations such as electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) and hybrid technologies are anticipated to drive market growth [6].