2025外滩大会：从数据驱动走向“经验时代” AI竞争进入新阶段

Core Insights - The 2025 Inclusion Bund Conference in Shanghai focused on the development path of artificial intelligence (AI), discussing its current status, challenges, and future vision [1] AI Development - AI is transitioning from a data-driven paradigm to an experience-driven one, as proposed by Turing Award winner Richard Sutton, indicating a new phase in AI development [2] - The "scale law" continues to dominate AI development, with the emergence of reasoning models shaping a new curve called the "reasoning scale law" [4] - Major U.S. tech companies are expected to spend over $300 billion on AI-related capital expenditures by 2025, indicating a large-scale construction boom in the AI data center industry [4] - The concept of an "intelligent agent economy" is emerging, where numerous intelligent agents interact, execute tasks, and exchange data [4] - Open resources are becoming a key variable in AI competition, with a shift from code openness to resource openness [4][7] AI Challenges - Energy demand is a hard constraint for AI development, with AI currently consuming 1.5% of global electricity, potentially rising to 20% [5] - There is a significant gap in the practical application of AI, with challenges in high-quality data availability and model alignment with robotic control modalities [6] - Ethical and social governance challenges are increasingly prominent, with concerns about decision-making being transferred from humans to algorithms [6] - Organizational management needs to be restructured to adapt to the rapid development of AI technology [6] AI Future - The ultimate goal of AI is linked to energy, with nuclear fusion being highlighted as a breakthrough opportunity [8] - Continuous learning and meta-learning technologies are essential for unlocking the full potential of AI [8] - Collaboration and empathy are crucial for measuring progress in a rapidly evolving technological society [8] - The launch of 12 satellites with an 8B AI model marks a significant opportunity for AI in space [8][9] - The future of AI will require a collaborative approach involving technological breakthroughs, energy support, ethical norms, and social governance [10]