2 Recession-Resistant Energy Stocks to Consider in 2025

Core Viewpoint - Concerns about a potential recession are rising, but certain energy companies, specifically Enbridge and Brookfield Renewable, have resilient business models that can withstand economic downturns [1][12]. Group 1: Enbridge - Enbridge operates one of North America's largest energy infrastructure businesses, with a low-risk model supported by cost-of-service agreements and long-term contracts that backstop 98% of its cash flows [4][6]. - The company has achieved its annual financial guidance for 19 consecutive years, including during two major recessions [4]. - Enbridge pays out 60% to 70% of its stable cash flow as dividends, currently yielding 5.6%, providing a solid return for investors [5]. - The company has a significant backlog of growth capital projects expected to come online through the end of the decade, anticipating a 3% compound annual growth rate in cash flow per share through next year, accelerating to about 5% thereafter [6]. Group 2: Brookfield Renewable - Brookfield Renewable is one of the largest renewable energy producers globally, with 90% of its electricity sold under long-term, fixed-rate power purchase agreements, which are indexed to inflation for about 70% of its revenue [8]. - The company expects its existing power portfolio to deliver 4% to 7% growth in annual funds from operations (FFO) per share through the end of the decade, driven by inflation escalations and margin enhancements [9]. - Brookfield has a vast pipeline of renewable energy projects, including 10.5 gigawatts for Microsoft, which is expected to add 4% to 6% to its FFO per share annually as they come online [9][10]. - The company has financial flexibility for acquisitions, recently agreeing to invest up to $1 billion in Isagen, which will add 2% to its FFO per share next year [10]. - Overall, Brookfield anticipates more than 10% annual FFO-per-share growth for the foreseeable future, with expected dividend increases of 5% to 9% each year [11].