创新药中报强劲，未来还有多少潜力可挖？

Core Viewpoint - The innovative pharmaceutical sector has become a key driver of revenue growth for listed companies, with some companies reporting that innovative drug revenue has surpassed 50% of total revenue, indicating a significant shift towards innovation-driven business models [1][3]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - In the first half of 2025, multiple innovative pharmaceutical companies in the A-share market reported both revenue and profit growth, with the proportion of innovative drugs continuing to rise [3]. - A representative product, the BTK inhibitor Zebutini, achieved global sales of 12.527 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 56.2% [3]. - In the Hong Kong stock market, 39 innovative pharmaceutical companies reported total revenue of 152.061 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 7.66%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 28.266 billion yuan, a significant increase of 54.37% [3]. Group 2: Market Signals - The strong performance of innovative pharmaceutical companies indicates that the long-term innovation-driven strategies are beginning to yield results, with sustained R&D investments gaining market recognition [3][6]. - Increased health awareness among residents and supportive healthcare policies are contributing to the growing market demand for innovative drugs [3]. Group 3: Growth Drivers - R&D capabilities are improving in both quantity and quality, with China becoming a global center for new drug development, particularly in areas like ADC and multi-antibody technologies [7]. - Continuous policy support from the government, including 32 specific measures aimed at enhancing the innovative pharmaceutical sector, is fostering overall industry vitality [7]. - The trend of Chinese innovative drugs entering international markets is expected to enhance company performance through upfront and milestone payments from overseas collaborations [7]. Group 4: Market Potential - The Chinese innovative pharmaceutical market is projected to exceed 750 billion yuan in 2025, representing an 18% increase from 2024, and is expected to capture 6% of the global market share [8]. - By 2030, the market size is anticipated to surpass 2.3 trillion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate of 15% from 2025 to 2030 [8]. - The transition from "Made in China" to "Created in China" signifies the beginning of a new growth phase for the industry, with several quarters of growth expected to be relatively certain [8].